一、國際安全形勢
當今世界正經歷百年未有之大變局，世界多極化、經濟全球化、社會信息化、文化多樣化深入發(fā)展，和平、發(fā)展、合作、共贏的時代潮流不可逆轉，但國際安全面臨的不穩(wěn)定性不確定性更加突出，世界并不太平。
國際戰(zhàn)略格局深刻演變
I. International Security Situation
The world today is undergoing profound changes unseen in a century. As economic globalization, the information society, and cultural diversification develop in an increasingly multi-polar world, peace, development and win-win cooperation remain the irreversible trends of the times. Nonetheless, there are prominent destabilizing factors and uncertainties in international security. The world is not yet a tranquil place.
The International Strategic Landscape Is Going Through Profound Changes
國際力量加快分化組合，新興市場國家和發(fā)展中國家力量持續(xù)上升，戰(zhàn)略力量對比此消彼長、更趨均衡，促和平、求穩(wěn)定、謀發(fā)展已成為國際社會的普遍訴求，和平力量的上升遠遠超過戰(zhàn)爭因素的增長。但是，霸權主義、強權政治、單邊主義時有抬頭，地區(qū)沖突和局部戰(zhàn)爭持續(xù)不斷，國際安全體系和秩序受到沖擊。
As the realignment of international powers accelerates and the strength of emerging markets and developing countries keeps growing, the configuration of strategic power is becoming more balanced. The pursuit of peace, stability and development has become a universal aspiration of the international community with forces for peace predominating over elements of war. However, international security system and order are undermined by growing hegemonism, power politics, unilateralism and constant regional conflicts and wars.
國際戰(zhàn)略競爭呈上升之勢。美國調整國家安全戰(zhàn)略和國防戰(zhàn)略，奉行單邊主義政策，挑起和加劇大國競爭，大幅增加軍費投入，加快提升核、太空、網絡、導彈防御等領域能力，損害全球戰(zhàn)略穩(wěn)定。北約持續(xù)擴員，加強在中東歐地區(qū)軍事部署，頻繁舉行軍事演習。俄羅斯強化核、非核戰(zhàn)略遏制能力，努力維護戰(zhàn)略安全空間和自身利益。歐盟獨立維護自身安全的傾向增強，加快推進安全和防務一體化建設。
International strategic competition is on the rise. The US has adjusted its national security and defense strategies, and adopted unilateral policies. It has provoked and intensified competition among major countries, significantly increased its defense expenditure, pushed for additional capacity in nuclear, outer space, cyber and missile defense, and undermined global strategic stability. NATO has continued its enlargement, stepped up military deployment in Central and Eastern Europe, and conducted frequent military exercises. Russia is strengthening its nuclear and non-nuclear capabilities for strategic containment, and striving to safeguard its strategic security space and interests. The European Union (EU) is accelerating its security and defense integration to be more independent in its own security.
全球和地區(qū)性安全問題持續(xù)增多。國際軍控和裁軍遭遇挫折，軍備競賽趨勢顯現。防止大規(guī)模殺傷性武器擴散形勢錯綜復雜，國際防擴散機制受到實用主義和雙重標準危害，面臨新的挑戰(zhàn)。極端主義、恐怖主義不斷蔓延，網絡安全、生物安全、海盜活動等非傳統安全威脅日益凸顯。伊朗核問題解決出現波折，敘利亞問題政治解決仍面臨困難。各國安全的交融性、關聯性、互動性不斷增強，沒有哪一個國家能夠獨立應對或獨善其身。
亞太安全形勢總體穩(wěn)定
Global and regional security issues are on the increase. International arms control and disarmament efforts have suffered setbacks, with growing signs of arms races. The non-proliferation of weapons of mass destruction remains problematic. The international non-proliferation regime is compromised by pragmatism and double standards, and hence faces new challenges. Extremism and terrorism keep spreading. Non-traditional security threats involving cyber security, bio-security and piracy are becoming more pronounced. The Iranian nuclear issue has taken an unexpected turn, and there is no easy political solution to the Syrian issue. The security of individual countries is becoming increasingly intertwined, interlinked and interactive. No country can respond alone or stand aloof.
The Asia-Pacific Security Situation Remains Generally Stable
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